Suppose that in 2008 you invested in a barrel of crude oil.
And why wouldn’t you? Every year from 2002 to 2008 the annual average price per barrel has gone up, from $23 to $91. As an investment, it’s a no-brainer.
Unfortunately, today your investment is worth $66 (date of post), down 27%. Obviously, a poor ROI.
What caused the drop? Supply and demand. OPEC. War in the Middle East. Hurricane Katrina. The recession. Staycations. In other words, variables outside of your control.
Investments in marketing are no different. Consider the retailer who places advertising to promote a weekend sale. He is at the mercy of an infinite number of variables, such as competitive sales, football games, and Mother Nature.
Marketing budgets are no more risky than financial investments, which is to say CFOs are right to question them. The accountability of marketing for producing measurable results has always been a sensitive topic.
Many CFOs attempt to hold marketing to the highest of ROI standards. Some perceive it as a soft cost, one that is inept at proving its own value. They view excuses, such as “Sales were hurt by the blizzard,” as, well, excuses.
CMOs, on the other hand, accept that by definition, the marketplace is chaotic. Question their strategies, however, and you hit raw nerve. Deep in their hearts, marketers are troubled by their own inability to guarantee results.
Both sides agree: Marketing is an inexact science. CFOs use this knowledge as a bludgeon. They expect every campaign to be “Where’s the beef?” CMOs avoid the conversation, knowing that you don’t hit a gusher without a lot of dry wells and expense.
Ideally, marketing investments should be reviewed like financial ones. Managers should consider customer trends, competitive activity, market influences, pricing strategies, and the organization’s ability to deliver, as well as recommended marketing messages and channels.
Smart investors are not gamblers. Instead, they make informed decisions, based on calculations of risk and opportunity.
Do your CMO and CFO work together to make wise marketing investments?

Take any group of people. Give them a goal in which they have a vested interest, throw some obstacles their way, and apply pressure. What happens?
Clara Peller once asked, “




